Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 13, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Liverpool (Uruguay)

Defensor
2 - 2
Liverpool

Ferrari (38'), Navarro (89')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Samudio (4'), Rodriguez (10')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 0-0 Danubio (3-4 pen.)
Wednesday, March 8 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Liverpool

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 2-3 La Luz
Sunday, March 5 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawLiverpool
27.82% (-0.147 -0.15)27.48% (0.023 0.02)44.7% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 46.83% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.7% (-0.151 -0.15)58.3% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.08% (-0.117 -0.12)78.92% (0.119 0.12)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (-0.201 -0.2)36.74% (0.202 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (-0.201 -0.2)73.53% (0.202 0.2)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)25.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.01% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)60.99% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 27.82%
    Liverpool 44.7%
    Draw 27.48%
Defensor SportingDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.78% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 27.82%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 9.54% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 12.86% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.67% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 44.7%

Head to Head
Aug 1, 2022 7pm
Liverpool
1-3
Defensor
Rodriguez (65' pen.)
Vecino (9'), Romero (32'), Diaz (42'), Perez (58')
Balboa (45'), Ocampo (47'), Valiente (90+7')
Mallo (9'), de los Santos (40'), Rocha (48'), Sant'Anna (64'), Rossi (77'), Navarro (90+5')
Feb 5, 2022 10.30pm
Defensor
0-3
Liverpool

Camargo (41'), Rodriguez (50'), (61'), Bernal (72'), Abaldo (90+2')
Mallo (22' og.), M. Gonzalez Maciel (38'), Rodriguez Elduayen (57')
Carneiro (64'), Figueredo (72'), Cayetano (80'), Lemos (84'), (90+2'), (90+5')
Feb 20, 2021 10.15pm
Defensor
0-3
Liverpool

Ocampo (39'), Mendez (57'), (90+6')
Ignacio Ramirez (42'), Romero (87'), Bueno (90+4')
Figueredo (23'), Candido (45')
Aug 30, 2020 2pm
Liverpool
1-2
Defensor
Fernandez (24')
Fernandez (15'), Martinez (37'), Ignacio Ramirez (87')
Colombini (59' pen.), Coelho (70')
Cardacio (78'), Lamas (85'), Gonzalez (87')
Oct 11, 2019 12am
Defensor
0-0
Liverpool

Menosse (38'), Rodriguez (39')

Acevedo (10')