Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 25, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Penarol

Defensor
2 - 2
Penarol

Balboa (11'), Navarro (90+9' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arezo (41'), Rossi (74' og.)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 La Luz
Sunday, February 19 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Penarol

All competitions
Last Game: Penarol 1-0 Boston River
Monday, February 20 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 1-2 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawPenarol
24.58% (-0.023 -0.02)27.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.15% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 44.98% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)59.44% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)79.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.82% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)40.18% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)76.82% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2% (0.010000000000005 0.01)24.79% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63% (0.013999999999996 0.01)59.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 24.58%
    Penarol 48.14%
    Draw 27.27%
Defensor SportingDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.58%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-2 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 13.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.69% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 48.14%

Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 10.30pm
Defensor
2-3
Penarol
Balboa (61'), Mallo (68')
Rabino (43'), Sant'Anna (55')
Mendez (5'), Laquintana (48'), Ramos (71')
Arias (45+1'), Ramos (54'), Laquintana (57'), Viatri (67')
Feb 13, 2022 11pm
Penarol
0-1
Defensor

Laquintana (90+5')
Balboa (21')
Camargo (23'), Bernal (34'), Barrios (58')
Jan 28, 2021 12am
Penarol
1-2
Defensor
Torres (59')
Gonzalez (61'), Gargano (63')
Cardacio (71'), Chavez (85')
Rojo (45'), Mallo Blanco (63'), Poggi (73'), Rodriguez (82'), Chavez (85')
Nov 1, 2020 9pm
Defensor
2-1
Penarol
Lamas (6'), Mendez (32')
Laquintana (40'), Ivanov (85')
(90+5')
Gonzalez (69')
Feb 23, 2020 10.30pm
Defensor
2-1
Penarol
Angel Albin (74'), Milan (90')
Alvarez (17'), Zeballos (61')
Abascal (47')
Vadocz (9'), Rojas (90')
rhs 2.0


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