Uruguayan Primera Division
Gameweek
3
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-
Augusto Cambon
90'+5'
Defensor Sporting vs La Luz - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
La Luz
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Schiappacasse
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.
Result
Defensor Sporting
42.95%
▼
(-0.88)
Draw
26.9%
▼
(-0.16)
La Luz
30.15%
▲
(+1.04)
Both Teams to Score:
49.77%
▲
(+0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.85%
▲
(+1.01)
Under 2.5
55.15%
▼
(-1.01)
Over 3.5
23.6%
▲
(+0.83)
Under 3.5
76.4%
▼
(-0.83)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5
74.57%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
25.43%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
39.74%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
60.26%
▼
(-0.02)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5
66.74%
▲
(+1.31)
Under 0.5
33.25%
▼
(-1.31)
Over 1.5
30.13%
▲
(+1.42)
Under 1.5
69.87%
▼
(-1.42)
Score analysis
Defensor Sporting
42.95%
Draw
26.89%
La Luz
30.15%
Defensor Sporting
1-0
@
11.58%
▼
(-0.45)
2-1 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.32)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.95%
2-1 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.93% ▼ (-0.32)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.95%
Draw
1-1
@
12.74%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.89%
0-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.34)
2-2 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.89%
La Luz
0-1
@
9.31%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.15%
1-2 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 2.58% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.13)
2-3 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.15%