Feb 4, 2023 8.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Matias Arezo 19'
Carlos Sanchez 56'

Penarol vs Cerro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

W
D
L
L
W
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
D
L
L
W
L

Last game

Oct 22, 2022 11.00pm

Cerro Largo 0 - 2 Penarol

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Matias Arezo

Cerro

All competitions

D
L
W
L
L
L

Uruguayan Primera Division

D
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Mar 29, 2021 2.00pm

Wanderers 1 - 1 Cerro

Goals scored

31

Top scorer

Lucas Rodriguez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result

Penarol 49.76% ▲ (+0.18)

Draw 27.51% ▼ (-0.15)

Cerro 22.73% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score:

42.65% ▲ (+0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.48% ▲ (+0.46)

Under 2.5 61.52% ▼ (-0.46)

Over 3.5 18.62% ▲ (+0.35)

Under 3.5 81.38% ▼ (-0.34)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 75.03% ▲ (+0.30)

Under 0.5 24.97% ▼ (-0.29)

Over 1.5 40.39% ▲ (+0.40)

Under 1.5 59.61% ▼ (-0.40)

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5 56.85% ▲ (+0.25)

Under 0.5 43.16% ▼ (-0.24)

Over 1.5 20.58% ▲ (+0.21)

Under 1.5 79.42% ▼ (-0.20)

Score analysis

Penarol 49.75%

Draw 27.51%

Cerro 22.73%

Penarol

1-0 @ 14.95% ▼ (-0.14)

2-0 @ 10.37%

2-1 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.06)

3-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.04)

3-1 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.06)

3-2 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.04)

4-0 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.03)

4-1 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.04)

Other @ 2.13%

Total : 49.75%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.56% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.18)

2-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 0.51%

Total : 27.51%

Cerro

0-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.10)

1-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.03)

0-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.02)

1-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 1.02%

Total : 22.73%

Head to Head

Jan 16, 2021 8.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Martin Gonzalez 44'
Maicol Cabrera 60'
Jose Tancredi 64'

Urreta 22'
Urreta 35'
Robert Herrera 41'
Kevin Dawson 57'
Fabricio Formiliano 76'

Feb 15, 2020 9.00pm

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Xisco 10'
Giovanni Gonzalez 22'
Rodrigo Abascal 51'
Xisco 61'
Thiago Cardozo 71'
Jesus Trindade 90'

Leandro Paiva 29'
Facundo Moreira 51'
Mauro Brasil 74'

Nov 6, 2019 7.00pm

1

3

HT : 0 1

FT

Emiliano Diaz 16'
Nahuel Roldan 83'
Rodrigo Izquierdo 87'

Xisco 16'
Xisco 23'
Jesus Trindade 45'
Xisco 60'
Facundo Rebollo 80'

Apr 20, 2019 11.00pm

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Cristian Lema 48'
Cristian Rodriguez 51'
Lucas Viatri 53'
Gabriel Fernandez 53'
Lucas Hernandez 63'

Kevin Moreira 56'
Kevin Moreira 62'
Jose Tancredi 71'
Federico Puente 87'

Sep 2, 2018 10.00pm

3

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Lucas Viatri 13'
Carlos Rodriguez 55'
Gonzalo Freitas 58'
Ezequiel Busquets 75'
Maxi Rodriguez 87'
Lucas Viatri 88'
Lucas Viatri 89'

Luis Acevedo 42'
Darwin Torres 57'
Luis Acevedo 63'
Christian Nunez 73'
Darwin Torres 77'
Luis Acevedo 87'
Gonzalo Porras 92'
Leandro Zazpe 94'

Mar 21, 2018 7.00pm

0

3

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Monumental Luis TrÃ³ccoli (Montevideo)

Juan Izquierdo 45'
Franco Lopez 72'
Juan Izquierdo 85'
Christian Nunez 86'

Fabricio Formiliano 19'
Kevin Dawson 44'
Gabriel Fernandez 52'
Agustin Canobbio 53'
Fidel Martinez 92'

Form Data

Cerro Largo 0 - 2 Penarol

Penarol 1 - 1 River Plate

Boston River 2 - 1 Penarol

Penarol 0 - 1 Plaza Colonia

Wanderers 0 - 2 Penarol

Penarol 0 - 1 Torque

Wanderers 1 - 1 Cerro

Cerro 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Rentistas 0 - 1 Cerro

Cerro 2 - 3 Maldonado

Boston River 2 - 0 Cerro

Cerro 0 - 1 Nacional