MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 17:38:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
2 - 0
Cerro

Arezo (19'), Sanchez (56' pen.)
Rodriguez (22'), Coelho (36'), Arezo (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Perez (24'), Souza (51'), Cabral (54'), Magallanes (64'), Rodriguez (67'), Abero (87')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, October 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-1 Cerro
Monday, March 29 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 22.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
PenarolDrawCerro
49.76% (0.175 0.18) 27.51% (-0.148 -0.15) 22.73% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 42.65% (0.346 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.48% (0.458 0.46)61.52% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62% (0.341 0.34)81.38% (-0.334 -0.33)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.291 0.29)24.97% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.398 0.4)59.61% (-0.392 -0.39)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.85% (0.244 0.24)43.16% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.58% (0.204 0.2)79.42% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 49.75%
    Cerro 22.73%
    Draw 27.51%
PenarolDrawCerro
1-0 @ 14.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.035 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 49.75%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.77% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 22.73%

Head to Head
Jan 16, 2021 8pm
Cerro
1-1
Penarol
Cabrera (60' pen.)
Gonzalez (44'), Tancredi (64')
Urreta (22')
Urreta (35'), Herrera (41'), Formiliano (76')
Dawson (57')
Feb 15, 2020 9pm
Penarol
2-1
Cerro
Xisco (10'), Trindade (90')
Gonzalez (22'), Abascal (51'), Xisco (61')
Cardozo (71')
Paiva (29')
Moreira (51'), Brasil (74')
Nov 6, 2019 7pm
Cerro
1-3
Penarol
Roldan (83')
Diaz (16'), Izquierdo (87')
Xisco (23', 60'), Rebollo (80')
Xisco (16'), Trindade (45')
Apr 20, 2019 11pm
Penarol
1-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (51' pen.)
Lema (48'), Viatri (53'), Fernandez (53'), Hernandez (63')
Tancredi (71')
Moreira (56'), Puente (87')
Moreira (62')
Sep 2, 2018 10pm
Penarol
3-2
Cerro
Rodriguez (55'), Rodriguez (87'), Viatri (88')
Viatri (13'), Freitas (58'), Busquets (75')
Viatri (89')
Acevedo (42', 63')
Torres (57'), Nunez (73'), Acevedo (87'), Zazpe (94')
Torres (77'), Porras (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso127322420424
4Defensor SportingDefensor1264225141122
5Boston RiverBoston River126331613321
6Cerro Largo125341412218
7LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
8Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
9Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
10River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
11DanubioDanubio123451216-413
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla122371024-149
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77


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