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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Oct 22, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Penarol

Cerro Largo
0 - 2
Penarol


Viera (40'), Bentaberry (69'), Villar (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Saravia (38'), Mendez (70')
Dawson (27'), Alvarez (51'), Saravia (73'), Milesi (81')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, October 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
22.01% (0.152 0.15) 28.27% (0.18 0.18) 49.72% (-0.33 -0.33)
Both teams to score 40.14% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.64% (-0.418 -0.42)64.35% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.56% (-0.297 -0.3)83.44% (0.29900000000001 0.3)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.44% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)45.56% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.63% (-0.07 -0.07)81.37% (0.071999999999989 0.07)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.72% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)26.28% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.6% (-0.473 -0.47)61.4% (0.475 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 22.01%
    Penarol 49.71%
    Draw 28.26%
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.122 0.12)
2-1 @ 4.95% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.3% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 22.01%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.97% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 15.99% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 10.69% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 49.71%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Penarol
0-1
Cerro Largo

Alvarez (73'), Arias (81')
Tizon (88')
Gianoli (40'), Tizon (89')
Nov 23, 2021 12.45am
Penarol
2-2
Cerro Largo
Alvarez (62'), Rodriguez (68')
Kagelmacher (45+3'), Alvarez (64'), (76')
Kagelmacher (90+9')
Di Yorio (33'), Otormin (45+2')
Rodriguez (42'), Dominguez (64')
Aug 6, 2021 10pm
Cerro Largo
0-1
Penarol

Brasil (52'), Cayetano (90')
Ceppelini (64')
Musto (15'), Alvarez (59'), Pereira (73')
Apr 14, 2021 1.30am
Penarol
4-1
Cerro Largo
A (4', 43'), Torres (30'), Ferreira (60' og.)
Abascal (19')
Estol (20')
Estol (3'), Etcheverry (54'), Beltran (63'), Brasil (64'), Baez (74'), Nunez (87')
Apr 7, 2021 1.30am
Cerro Largo
2-2
Penarol
Estol (72' pen.), Borges (90+5')
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')
Formiliano (21'), Terans (50')
Pereira (51'), Abascal (56'), Gargano (60'), Freitas (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1210202561932
2NacionalNacional1274125151025
3ProgresoProgreso127322420424
4Defensor SportingDefensor1264225141122
5Boston RiverBoston River126331613321
6Cerro Largo125341412218
7LiverpoolLiverpool123631918115
8Racing de MontevideoRacing124351717015
9Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado124261315-214
10River PlateRiver Plate123451517-213
11DanubioDanubio123451216-413
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers123361217-512
13CerroCerro122551321-811
14Rampla JuniorsRampla122371024-149
15Miramar Misiones121561523-88
16FenixFenix12147916-77


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