Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Oct 22, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro Largo0 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, October 16 at 2.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Penarol 1-1 River Plate
Sunday, October 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, October 16 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
40
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.72%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerro Largo | Draw | Penarol |
22.01% ( 0.15) | 28.27% ( 0.18) | 49.72% ( -0.33) |
Both teams to score 40.14% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.64% ( -0.42) | 64.35% ( 0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.56% ( -0.3) | 83.44% ( 0.3) |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.44% ( -0.09) | 45.56% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.63% ( -0.07) | 81.37% ( 0.07) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.72% ( -0.35) | 26.28% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.6% ( -0.47) | 61.4% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Cerro Largo 22.01%
Penarol 49.71%
Draw 28.26%
Cerro Largo | Draw | Penarol |
1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 22.01% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 15.99% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 10.69% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.81% Total : 49.71% |
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2022 8pm
Nov 23, 2021 12.45am
Aug 6, 2021 10pm
Cerro Largo
0-1
Penarol
Brasil (52'), Cayetano (90')
Apr 14, 2021 1.30am
Penarol
4-1
Cerro Largo
Estol (20')
Estol (3'), Etcheverry (54'), Beltran (63'), Brasil (64'), Baez (74'), Nunez (87')
Estol (3'), Etcheverry (54'), Beltran (63'), Brasil (64'), Baez (74'), Nunez (87')
Apr 7, 2021 1.30am
Cerro Largo
2-2
Penarol
Estol (72' pen.), Borges (90+5')
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-15 00:21:04
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PenarolPenarol | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 32 |
2 | NacionalNacional | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
3 | ProgresoProgreso | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
4 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
5 | Boston RiverBoston River | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
7 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
10 | River PlateRiver Plate | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
11 | DanubioDanubio | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
12 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
13 | CerroCerro | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
14 | Rampla JuniorsRampla | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |
15 | Miramar Misiones | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
16 | FenixFenix | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table |
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