Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9

Sep 18, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
3 - 1
Cerrito

Bentancourt (24' pen., 90+1' pen.), Busquets (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Scarone (27')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerrito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 66.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 11.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.81%) and 3-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Cerrito
66.76% ( -2.14)	21.7% ( 0.87)	11.53% ( 1.27)

Both teams to score 37.42% (

1.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.09% (

-0.26)

56.91% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.18% (

-0.21)

77.82% (

0.21)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

-0.8)

16.38% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.98% (

-1.47)

46.02% (

1.47)

Cerrito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.75% (

2.26)

55.25% (

-2.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.97% (

1.29)

88.03% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Penarol 66.76%

Cerrito 11.53%

Draw 21.7%

Penarol	Draw	Cerrito
1-0 @ 16.37% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 14.81% ( -0.67) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.67) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.42) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.2) Other @ 3.1% Total : 66.76%	1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.7%	0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.22) Other @ 1.69% Total : 11.53%