Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.21%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.