Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.