Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 25, 2022 at 6pm UK
Parque Maracaná

Cerrito
0 - 1
Danubio


Gonzalez (45+2'), Velazquez (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hernandez (26')
Navarro (43')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerrito

Last Six:
Last Game: Nacional 5-0 Cerrito
Thursday, July 21 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

Last Six:
Last Game: Danubio 2-0 Plaza Colonia
Thursday, July 21 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 54.85%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.18%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cerrito win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Danubio in this match.

Result
CerritoDrawDanubio
18.17% (0.023999999999997 0.02)26.97% (0.063000000000002 0.06)54.85% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Both teams to score 38.44% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.14% (-0.159 -0.16)63.86% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.91% (-0.112 -0.11)83.08% (0.111 0.11)
Cerrito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.38% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)49.62% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.61% (-0.045 -0.04)84.39% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)23.69% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (-0.154 -0.15)57.81% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cerrito 18.17%
    Danubio 54.84%
    Draw 26.96%
CerritoDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 8.24% (0.032 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 18.17%
1-1 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.75% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 2.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 16.92% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
0-2 @ 12.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 54.84%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 11pm
Cerrito
0-1
Danubio

Perea (23'), Vila (80'), Zamorano (90+2')
Evans (70')
Rea (36'), Evans (87'), Fernandez (89')
Cabrera (78')