Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.