Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Oct 9, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 1
Plaza Colonia

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mederos (36')

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Penarol
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Plaza Colonia

All competitions

Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-3 Liverpool
Saturday, October 1 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.89%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Plaza Colonia
55.02% ( -0.34)	27.01% ( 0.11)	17.97% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 38.07% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.82% (

-0.08)

64.18% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.69% (

-0.06)

83.32% (

0.06)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

-0.18)

23.76% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09% (

-0.27)

57.91% (

0.27)

Plaza Colonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.93% (

0.25)

50.07% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.3% (

0.17)

84.71% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Penarol 55.01%

Plaza Colonia 17.97%

Draw 27%

Penarol	Draw	Plaza Colonia
1-0 @ 17.09% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 55.01%	0-0 @ 11.89% ( 0.03) 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 27%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.97%