Defensor
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 8, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
0 - 0
Danubio

FT
(aet)
Danubio win 4-3 on penalties
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Defensor Sporting and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensor Sporting

All competitions
Last Game: Torque 0-3 Defensor
Saturday, March 4 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 1-1 Danubio
Friday, March 3 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawDanubio
32.3% (0.053999999999995 0.05)29.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.38% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 43.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.87% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)63.12% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.44%82.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (0.040000000000006 0.04)35.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (0.041 0.04)72.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)31.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (-0.041 -0.04)68.29% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 32.3%
    Danubio 38.37%
    Draw 29.31%
Defensor SportingDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.86% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 32.3%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.43%
2-2 @ 3.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.31%
0-1 @ 13.08% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 38.37%

Head to Head
Oct 13, 2022 1.30am
Defensor
1-1
Danubio
Sant'Anna (31')
Mallo (33')
Rea (16')
Jul 17, 2022 10.30pm
Defensor
2-1
Danubio
Sant'Anna (36'), Ferrari (59')
Barrios (7'), Sant'Anna (88'), de los Santos (88')
Gonzalez (76')
Ferreira (11')
May 22, 2022 7.30pm
Danubio
1-2
Defensor
Rodriguez (5')
Rea (76')
Cabrera (81')
Navarro (45+8' pen.), Balboa (78' pen.)
Rocha (39'), Matturro (89')
Balboa (81')
Feb 28, 2021 10.15pm
Defensor
1-1
Danubio
Milan (90+4')
Mallo (14'), Zeballos (58'), (90+1'), (90+4'), (90+6')
Mallo (90+1')
Mederos (86')
Victorino (52'), Rodriguez (74'), Mederos (87'), Comachi (90+3')
Oct 18, 2020 7pm
Danubio
0-0
Defensor

Mendez (60'), Pantaleone (64'), Victorino (67')

Boggio (27'), Gonzalez (57'), Viudez (77')
Viudez (79')
rhs 2.0


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