Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 18, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Defensor

Danubio
0 - 0
Defensor


Mendez (60'), Pantaleone (64'), Victorino (67')
FT

Boggio (27'), Gonzalez (57'), Viudez (77')
Viudez (79')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and Defensor Sporting.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
DanubioDrawDefensor Sporting
35.2%28.64%36.16%
Both teams to score 45.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.42%60.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.32%80.68%
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44%32.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9%69.1%
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05%31.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6%68.4%
Score Analysis
    Danubio 35.2%
    Defensor Sporting 36.15%
    Draw 28.63%
DanubioDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 7.47%
2-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.45%
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 35.2%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 11.86%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-2 @ 6.77%
1-3 @ 2.89%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 36.15%