Copa Libertadores
Apr 21, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Parque
  • Gustavo Gomez 64' goal
  • Rafael Navarro 76' goal
  • goal Damian Bobadilla 5'

Palmeiras vs Cerro Porteno - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 6, 2023 1.30am
Bolivar 3 - 1 Palmeiras

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 6, 2023 1.00am
Cerro Porteno 2 - 1 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result

Palmeiras 66.87% (-0.15)
Draw 18.94% (+0.12)
Cerro Porteno 14.18% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.99% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.06% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 39.93% (+0.45)
Over 3.5 37.7% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 62.29% (+0.47)
Over 4.5 20.32% (-0.37)
Under 4.5 79.67% (+0.36)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5 88.94% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 11.05% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 64.6% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 35.39% (+0.36)

Cerro Porteno Goals

Over 0.5 59.57% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 40.42% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 22.96% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 77.04% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 66.87%
Draw 18.94%
Cerro Porteno 14.18%
Palmeiras
2-0 @ 10.83% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 9.84% (+0.14)
2-1 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.96% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 66.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.91% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 4.47% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 18.94%
Cerro Porteno
0-1 @ 4.05% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.83% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 14.18%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Jul 6, 2022 11.15pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Braian Samudio 37' goal
  • Gabriel Menino 40' yellowcard
  • Danilo 52' yellowcard
  • Rony 59' yellowcard
  • Rony 73' goal
  • Breno Lopes 75' goal
  • Gustavo Gomez 78' goal
  • Rony 83' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Patino 46'
  • yellowcard Alberto Espinola 83'
Copa Libertadores
Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio General Pablo Rojas
  • Alberto Espinola 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 56'
  • goal Rony 61'
  • goal Rony 71'
  • goal Murilo Cerqueira 87'
Copa Libertadores
Aug 10, 2018 1.45am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rodrigo Rojas 35' yellowcard
  • Marcelo Palau 54' yellowcard
  • Diego Churin 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises 1'
  • goal Miguel Borja 47'
  • goal Miguel Borja 71'
  • yellowcard Dudu 74'