Palmeiras
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2023 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Cerro Porteno

Gomez (64'), Navarro (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bobadilla (5')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Cerro Porteno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Cuiaba
Saturday, April 15 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Cerro Porteno

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 2-1 Barcelona
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 14.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCerro Porteno
66.87% (-0.142 -0.14)18.94% (0.111 0.11)14.18% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.99% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.06% (-0.446 -0.45)39.93% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.7% (-0.462 -0.46)62.29% (0.461 0.46)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.94% (-0.163 -0.16)11.05% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.6% (-0.361 -0.36)35.39% (0.36 0.36)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.57% (-0.235 -0.23)40.42% (0.234 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.96% (-0.214 -0.21)77.04% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 66.87%
    Cerro Porteno 14.18%
    Draw 18.94%
PalmeirasDrawCerro Porteno
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.96% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 7.21% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.035 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 66.87%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.067 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.47% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.45% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 14.18%

Head to Head
Jul 6, 2022 11.15pm
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Palmeiras
5-0
Cerro Porteno
Samudio (37' og.), Rony (73', 83'), Lopes (75'), Gomez (78')
Menino (40'), Danilo (52'), Rony (59')

Patino (46'), Espinola (83')
Jun 29, 2022 11.15pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Cerro Porteno
0-3
Palmeiras

Espinola (80')
Rony (61', 71'), Cerqueira (87')
Scarpa (56')
Aug 10, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Cerro Porteno
0-2
Palmeiras

Rojas (35'), Palau (54'), Churin (73')
Borja (47', 71')
Moises (1'), Dudu (74')