MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 19:02:26| >> :60:86:86:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 1am UK
General Pablo Rojas Stadium
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Cerro Porteno
2 - 1
Barcelona

Aquino (28' pen.), Churin (73')
Jean (80'), Espinola (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ortiz (70')
Velasco (24'), Bustos (25'), Diaz (26'), Sosa (59'), Mendoza (75')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Barcelona SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 2-1 Fortaleza
Thursday, March 16 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Porteno would win this match.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawBarcelona SC
57.73% (-0.873 -0.87) 23.97% (0.373 0.37) 18.3% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 46.1% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21% (-0.716 -0.72)53.78% (0.715 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74% (-0.605 -0.61)75.26% (0.60499999999999 0.6)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.586 -0.59)18.45% (0.586 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (-0.999 -1)49.62% (0.998 1)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.52% (0.18 0.18)43.47% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.31% (0.151 0.15)79.68% (-0.151 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 57.72%
    Barcelona SC 18.3%
    Draw 23.96%
Cerro PortenoDrawBarcelona SC
1-0 @ 13.55% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.45% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.73% (-0.132 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 57.72%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.02% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.96%
0-1 @ 6.68% (0.217 0.22)
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.104 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.3%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2020 10.15pm
Third Stage
Cerro Porteno
0-4
Barcelona

Benitez (13'), Amorebieta (42'), Churin (68')
Amorebieta (56')
Martinez (34'), Martinez (66', 82'), Diaz (73')
Marques (60'), Alvez (68'), Castillo (81')
Feb 20, 2020 12.30am
Third Stage
Barcelona
1-0
Cerro Porteno
Martinez (25')
Pinatares (44'), Aimar (44'), Pineida (53'), Diaz (84')

Ruiz (45'), Camilo Saiz (50'), Benitez (53'), Arzamendia (61'), Caceres (84')
rhs 2.0
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