Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 20, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio OlĂ­mpico de la UCV
Barcelona SC (Ecuador)

Metropolitanos
2 - 2
Barcelona

Gomez (35'), Rafael Anton Barroso (78'), Anton (78')
Bareiro (75'), Rafael Anton Barroso (79'), Anton (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diaz (45+4' pen.), Garces (52')
Perlaza (58')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Barcelona SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Lanus 1-0 Metropolitanos
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Wanderers 0-0 Barcelona
Wednesday, May 25 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
MetropolitanosDrawBarcelona SC
39.32% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)26.16% (0.015999999999998 0.02)34.52% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.49% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.97% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)51.03% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.11% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)72.89% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Metropolitanos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)25.47% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.7% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)60.3% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (0.012 0.01)28.23% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (0.012 0.01)63.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Metropolitanos 39.32%
    Barcelona SC 34.52%
    Draw 26.15%
MetropolitanosDrawBarcelona SC
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 39.32%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 9.09% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.52%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 1.30am
Barcelona
1-0
Metropolitanos
Molina (33')
Garces (90+1')

Ortiz (25'), Bolivar (60')