Corinthians
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)

Corinthians
0 - 1
Argentinos Jrs

FT(HT: 0-1)
Cabrera (13')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Corinthians and Argentinos Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huracan 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawArgentinos Juniors
41.37% (0.088999999999999 0.09)28.8% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)29.83% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 44.3% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)62% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.27% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)81.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.52% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)65.53% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.85% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)37.15% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)73.94% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 41.37%
    Argentinos Juniors 29.83%
    Draw 28.78%
CorinthiansDrawArgentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 13.38% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.78%
0-1 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 29.83%