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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 11, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
5 - 1
Union

Avalos (21', 30', 53'), Mac Allister (40'), Gonzalez (78')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Gonzalez (83')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union 0-3 Belgrano
Saturday, April 8 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 15.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawUnion
59.85% (-0.621 -0.62) 24.53% (0.155 0.16) 15.62% (0.469 0.47)
Both teams to score 39.86% (0.522 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.58% (0.164 0.16)59.42% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.21% (0.126 0.13)79.79% (-0.124 -0.12)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)19.79% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (-0.283 -0.28)51.86% (0.285 0.28)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.7% (0.76000000000001 0.76)50.3% (-0.757 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.14% (0.514 0.51)84.86% (-0.51299999999999 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 59.84%
    Union 15.62%
    Draw 24.53%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawUnion
1-0 @ 16.12% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 13.06% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
3-0 @ 7.05% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 59.84%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.96% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.08% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.108 0.11)
1-2 @ 3.81% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 15.62%

How you voted: Argentinos Jrs vs Union

Argentinos Juniors
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Union
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 10pm
Argentinos Jrs
2-0
Union
Avalos (38', 87')
Torren (45+7'), Cabrera (45+8'), Villalba (83'), Redondo Solari (83')

Calderon (45+1'), Marabel (62'), Alvez (82')
May 8, 2022 8pm
Argentinos Jrs
2-1
Union
Torren (6' pen.), Mac Allister (83')
Gallegos (58')
Mele (65'), Ignacio Nardoni (75'), Corvalan (81'), Paz (90+1')
Aug 30, 2021 6.30pm
Union
1-0
Argentinos Jrs
Cordero (4' pen.)
Borgnino (60')
Jan 25, 2020 12.45am
Union
1-0
Argentinos Jrs
Troyansky (12')
Elias (19')

Mac Allister (20'), Silva (54'), Gomez (68'), Torren (81')
Mac Allister (45'), Gomez (95')
Oct 21, 2018 7.30pm
Argentinos Jrs
0-1
Union

Pisculichi (45'), Torren (83')
Zurbriggen (7')
Martinez (34')
rhs 2.0
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