Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.