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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Mar 18, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 3
Racing

Gordillo (65')
Munua (16'), Aued (35'), Canete (43'), Corvalan (80'), Vera (85')
Luna Diale (38')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (24'), Rojas (75' pen.), Guerrero (90+5')
Insua (15'), Gomez (41'), Opazo (79')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Union
Monday, March 13 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, March 12 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Union had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawRacing Club
31.52% (0.407 0.41) 29.33% (0.339 0.34) 39.15% (-0.747 -0.75)
Both teams to score 43.45% (-0.779 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.69% (-1.01 -1.01)63.3% (1.01 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.31% (-0.736 -0.74)82.69% (0.73400000000001 0.73)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-0.249 -0.25)36.59% (0.246 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-0.25 -0.25)73.37% (0.25 0.25)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (-0.95700000000001 -0.96)31.47% (0.956 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (-1.121 -1.12)67.85% (1.12 1.12)
Score Analysis
    Union 31.51%
    Racing Club 39.15%
    Draw 29.32%
UnionDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 11.57% (0.35 0.35)
2-1 @ 6.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.3% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 31.51%
1-1 @ 13.38% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 11.51% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.32%
0-1 @ 13.31% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-3 @ 2.97% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 39.15%

Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 10pm
Apr 17, 2022 1.30am
Racing
1-0
Union
Copetti (28')
Dominguez (45'), Copetti (72'), Miranda (90+5')

Carlos Portillo (47'), Britez (72')
Oct 19, 2021 8.45pm
Union
1-1
Racing
Calderon (72')
Corvalan (44')
Copetti (81')
Jose Caceres (45+1'), Alcaraz (74'), Rojas (83'), (90+3')
Jul 27, 2019 1am
Racing
0-0
Union

Sigali (33'), Cristaldo (76'), Solari (84')

Bottinelli (14'), Bonifacio (23')
Sep 25, 2018 12am
rhs 2.0
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