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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Mar 3, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Estudiantes

Union
2 - 0
Estudiantes

Piris (52'), Machuca (70')
Machuca (31'), Corvalan (41'), Aued (45+3'), Gordillo (60'), Roldan (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zuqui (49')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Estudiantes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-0 Union
Saturday, February 25 at 8pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 1-1 Sarmiento
Saturday, February 25 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawEstudiantes
44.37% (-1.439 -1.44) 28.46% (-0.383 -0.38) 27.16% (1.82 1.82)
Both teams to score 43.81% (2.166 2.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.08% (2.089 2.09)61.91% (-2.093 -2.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.32% (1.513 1.51)81.67% (-1.517 -1.52)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (0.248 0.25)27.83% (-0.251 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (0.316 0.32)63.43% (-0.319 -0.32)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.71% (2.802 2.8)39.28% (-2.805 -2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.01% (2.521 2.52)75.99% (-2.524 -2.52)
Score Analysis
    Union 44.37%
    Estudiantes 27.16%
    Draw 28.45%
UnionDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 13.98% (-1.03 -1.03)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.153 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 10.93% (-0.88 -0.88)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.335 0.34)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.45%
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.483 0.48)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.347 0.35)
1-3 @ 1.9% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.21 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 27.16%

Head to Head
Aug 22, 2022 8.30pm
Estudiantes
1-0
Union
Boselli (76' pen.)
Morel (53'), Zuqui (86')

Machuca (24'), Vera (31'), Polenta (74'), Carlos Portillo (83')
Sep 15, 2021 6.15pm
Union
0-2
Estudiantes

Insaurralde (23'), Corvalan (68'), Britez (83')
Castro (20'), Del Prete (24')
Pellegrini (78')
Feb 1, 2020 10.40pm
Estudiantes
3-1
Union
Cauteruccio (36', 52'), Retegui (87' pen.)
Mendez (79')
Bonifacio (39'), Bottinelli (54'), Mendez (67'), Calderon (85')
Bottinelli (83')
Apr 6, 2019 7.30pm
Union
0-0
Estudiantes

Bazzana (23'), Schunke (31')
Schunke (51')
rhs 2.0
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