Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 44.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 27.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
Union	Draw	Estudiantes
44.37% ( -1.44)	28.46% ( -0.38)	27.16% ( 1.82)

Both teams to score 43.81% (

2.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.08% (

2.09)

61.91% (

-2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.32% (

1.51)

81.67% (

-1.52)

Union Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

0.25)

27.83% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

0.32)

63.43% (

-0.32)

Estudiantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.71% (

2.8)

39.28% (

-2.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.01% (

2.52)

75.99% (

-2.52)

Score Analysis

Union 44.37%

Estudiantes 27.16%

Draw 28.45%

Union	Draw	Estudiantes
1-0 @ 13.98% ( -1.03) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.59) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.69% Total : 44.37%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.88) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.34) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.45%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.48) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.19) Other @ 1.47% Total : 27.16%