Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 4, 2023 at 11pm UK

Argentinos Jrs
1 - 0
Independiente

Cabrera (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Argentinos Juniors and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-0 Godoy Cruz
Friday, March 31 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Independiente del Valle

All competitions

Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Independiente (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, March 1 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.46%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentinos Juniors in this match.

Result
Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Independiente del Valle
61.55% ( -3.14)	22.82% ( 1.11)	15.63% ( 2.02)

Both teams to score 44.28% (

1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.56% (

-0.61)

53.44% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.03% (

-0.51)

74.96% (

0.51)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05% (

-1.27)

16.95% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.97% (

-2.3)

47.03% (

2.3)

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.32% (

2.59)

46.68% (

-2.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.75% (

1.9)

82.24% (

-1.91)

Score Analysis

Argentinos Juniors 61.54%

Independiente del Valle 15.63%

Draw 22.81%

Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Independiente del Valle
1-0 @ 14.04% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.82) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.52) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.24) 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.54% Total : 61.54%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.59% Total : 22.81%	0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.28% Total : 15.63%