Independiente del Valle
CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg
Feb 22, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
Flamengo

Independiente
1 - 0
Flamengo

Carabajal (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the CONMEBOL Recopa Final clash between Independiente del Valle and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente del Valle

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Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-2 Independiente
Saturday, October 1 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Flamengo

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ahly 2-4 Flamengo
Saturday, February 11 at 3.30pm in Club World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 1-0 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawFlamengo
22.98% (-0.296 -0.3)25.77% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)51.25% (0.307 0.31)
Both teams to score 47.49% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.63% (-0.21100000000001 -0.21)55.37% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.43% (-0.174 -0.17)76.57% (0.169 0.17)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.61% (-0.403 -0.4)39.39% (0.397 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.91% (-0.376 -0.38)76.09% (0.37100000000001 0.37)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.35% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.65% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.22% (0.067999999999998 0.07)54.78% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 22.98%
    Flamengo 51.25%
    Draw 25.76%
Independiente del ValleDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.66% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.7% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 22.98%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.53% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 13.05% (0.13 0.13)
0-2 @ 9.98% (0.107 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.3%
0-3 @ 5.09% (0.062 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.25%

How you voted: Independiente vs Flamengo

Independiente del Valle
29.4%
Draw
5.9%
Flamengo
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2020 1.30am
Group A
Flamengo
4-0
Independiente
Lincoln (26'), Pedro (30'), Henrique (51', 72')
Noga (90+2')

Torres (22'), Guerrero (74'), Alvarado (89')
Sep 18, 2020 1am
Group A
Independiente
5-0
Flamengo
Caicedo (41'), Preciado (49'), Torres (58'), Sanchez (81'), Caicedo (90+2')
Preciado (52'), Caicedo (89')
Preciado (90+3')

Arao (64'), Henrique (90')
Feb 27, 2020 12.30am
Final
Flamengo
3-0
Independiente
Barbosa (19'), Gerson (62', 89')
Gerson (15'), Henrique (88')
Arao (23')

Franco (79')
Cabeza (86')
Feb 20, 2020 1.30am
Final
Independiente
2-2
Flamengo
Murillo (21'), Pellerano (90' pen.)
Pellerano (24'), Caicedo (45'), Guerrero (49'), Cabeza (87')
Henrique (66'), Pedro (86')
Gerson (20'), Luis (79'), Henrique (88'), Rafinha (90')