Club World Cup
Feb 11, 2023 3.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ahmed Abdelkader 37' goal
  • Ahmed Abdelkader 60' goal
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 11'
  • goal Pedro 77'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 84'
  • goal Pedro 90'+1'

Al Ahly vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

All competitions

Flamengo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 1-0 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result

Al Ahly 23.44%
Draw 24.77%
Flamengo 51.78%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.86%
Under 2.5 51.13%
Over 3.5 27.01%
Under 3.5 72.98%

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5 63.41%
Under 0.5 36.59%
Over 1.5 26.62%
Under 1.5 73.38%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 80.26%
Under 0.5 19.73%
Over 1.5 48.24%
Under 1.5 51.75%

Score analysis

Al Ahly 23.44%
Draw 24.77%
Flamengo 51.77%
Al Ahly
1-0 @ 7.26%
2-1 @ 5.92%
2-0 @ 3.65%
3-1 @ 1.99%
3-2 @ 1.61%
3-0 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 23.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.77%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 11.71%
1-2 @ 9.56%
0-2 @ 9.51%
1-3 @ 5.17%
0-3 @ 5.14%
2-3 @ 2.6%
1-4 @ 2.1%
0-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 51.77%