Club World Cup

Club World Cup | First Round

Feb 1, 2023 at 7pm UK

Al Ahly
3 - 0
Auckland City

El Shahat (45+2'), Sherif (56'), Tau (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Club World Cup clash between Al Ahly and Auckland City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ahly

Last Game: Al Ahly 0-2 Wydad
Monday, May 30 at 8pm in CAF Champions League

Auckland City

Last Game: Al-Duhail 3-0 Auckland City
Monday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Club World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Auckland City had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Auckland City win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.

Result
Al Ahly	Draw	Auckland City
60.71% ( 0.08)	21.08% ( -0.01)	18.2% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.02% (

-0.05)

41.97% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.62% (

-0.05)

64.38% (

0.05)

Al Ahly Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.61% (

0.01)

13.38% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.7% (

0.02)

40.29% (

-0.02)

Auckland City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.35% (

-0.11)

36.64% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.56% (

-0.11)

73.43% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Al Ahly 60.71%

Auckland City 18.2%

Draw 21.08%

Al Ahly	Draw	Auckland City
2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 60.71%	1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.08%	1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.2%