Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ahly in this match.