Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 4, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
Palmeiras

Barcelona
0 - 2
Palmeiras

FT(HT: 0-1)
Veiga (45+3' pen.), Gomez (47')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Barcelona SC and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

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Last Game: Barcelona 2-1 Bolivar
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
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Palmeiras

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Corinthians
Saturday, April 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Barcelona SC win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawPalmeiras
26.94% (-0.407 -0.41)25.84% (-0.19 -0.19)47.22% (0.597 0.6)
Both teams to score 50.96% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.33% (0.491 0.49)52.66% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.69% (0.417 0.42)74.31% (-0.417 -0.42)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.58% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)34.42% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.87% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)71.13% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.7% (0.47999999999999 0.48)22.29% (-0.481 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.24% (0.714 0.71)55.76% (-0.715 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 26.94%
    Palmeiras 47.22%
    Draw 25.84%
Barcelona SCDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.175 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.37% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.33% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.55% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.94%
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 11.51% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.64% (0.08 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.101 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.061 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.62% (0.06 0.06)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 47.22%