Barcelona SC (Ecuador)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Barcelona
2 - 1
Bolivar

Gaibor (37'), Bauman (74', 75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandez (70')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Barcelona SC and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona SC

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Last Game: Cerro Porteno 2-1 Barcelona
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Bolivar

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Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona SC would win this match.

Result
Barcelona SCDrawBolivar
46.23% (-0.192 -0.19)26.02% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)27.75% (0.207 0.21)
Both teams to score 51% (0.194 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.1% (0.181 0.18)52.89% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5% (0.154 0.15)74.5% (-0.154 -0.15)
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)22.85% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.58% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.26000000000001 0.26)33.89% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.283 0.28)70.56% (-0.28399999999999 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Barcelona SC 46.23%
    Bolivar 27.75%
    Draw 26.01%
Barcelona SCDrawBolivar
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.44% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.53% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.75%