Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
Gremio

Palmeiras
4 - 1
Gremio

Veiga (23', 24', 56' pen.), Mayke (68'), Garcia (73')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bitello (45+2')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Goias 0-5 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Gremio 3-3 Bragantino
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawGremio
65.78% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)19.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)14.62% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.89% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (0.157 0.16)41.96% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.63% (0.158 0.16)64.36% (-0.16 -0.16)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.07% (0.028999999999996 0.03)11.93% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.71% (0.064999999999998 0.06)37.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.92% (0.183 0.18)41.08% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.37% (0.164 0.16)77.62% (-0.166 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 65.77%
    Gremio 14.62%
    Draw 19.59%
PalmeirasDrawGremio
2-0 @ 11.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.85% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.99% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.17% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.71% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 65.77%
1-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.59%
0-1 @ 4.36% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 14.62%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
gameweek 29
Gremio
1-3
Palmeiras
Souza (11')
Kannemann (27'), Pyerre (39'), Mancini (45+6'), Thiago (64'), Alisson (69')
Veiga (45+1' pen., 45+4'), Lopes (90+3')
Melo (62'), Garcia (90+1')
Jul 7, 2021 11pm
gameweek 10
Palmeiras
2-0
Gremio
Veiga (1'), Menino (17')
Menino (9'), Danilo (41')

Nunes (32'), Henrique (34'), Vanderson (38')
Mar 7, 2021 9pm
Finals
Palmeiras
2-0
Gremio
Wesley (53'), Menino (84')
Rafael (16'), Menino (86'), Esteves (86'), Rocha (87')

Doin (27'), Kannemann (30')
Mar 1, 2021 12am
Finals
Gremio
0-1
Palmeiras

Barbosa (54'), Kannemann (87'), Vanderson (90+3')
Gomez (32')
Rafael (78'), Willian (85')
Garcia (65')
Jan 16, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 30
Palmeiras
1-1
Gremio
Veiga (33')
Lopes (63'), Rocha (76'), Lima (90+2')
Souza (88')
Kannemann (73')