Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena do Grêmio
Bragantino

Gremio
3 - 3
Bragantino

Cristaldo (6' pen.), Suarez (56'), Galdino (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandes (9'), Sasha (53'), Borbas (90+1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last Game: Cuiaba 1-2 Gremio
Sunday, April 30 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Bragantino

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 0-0 Estudiantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
GremioDrawBragantino
50.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06)25.89% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)23.62% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.83% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)55.26% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)76.49% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)21.93% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.79% (0.012999999999998 0.01)55.21% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)38.73% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.54% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)75.46% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 50.48%
    Bragantino 23.62%
    Draw 25.88%
GremioDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.48%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 23.62%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2021 9pm
gameweek 33
Gremio
3-0
Bragantino
Souza (5'), Silva (34'), Robert (38')

Cesar (34'), Natan (90+4')
Aug 1, 2021 1am
gameweek 14
Bragantino
1-0
Gremio
Praxedes (62')
Jadsom (90+6')

Geromel (38'), Cortez (72')
Feb 26, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 38
Bragantino
1-0
Gremio
Claudinho (53')
Fraga (36'), Evangelista (44'), Bruno (90+4')

(83')
Nov 2, 2020 11pm
gameweek 19
Gremio
2-1
Bragantino
Braz (68'), Manuel Orejuela (72')
Silva (86')
Hurtado (78')
Claudinho (33')