Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
53.25% ( -0.02)	25.71% ( 0)	21.03% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 45.34% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.03% (

0.01)

56.97% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.13% (

0.01)

77.87% (

-0.01)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

-0.01)

21.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.51% (

-0.01)

54.49% (

0.01)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.73% (

0.02)

42.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.33% (

0.02)

78.67% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 53.25%

Athletico Paranaense 21.03%

Draw 25.71%

Bragantino	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.96% 2-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.83% Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.25%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.03%