Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 5, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz

Libertad
1 - 2
Athletico PR

Cardozo (10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardoso (52'), Santana (65')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Game: Libertad 1-2 Alianza Lima
Friday, April 21 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, April 30 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
49.33% ( -0.49)	26% ( 0.16)	24.67% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 48.56% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.16% (

-0.35)

54.84% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.86% (

-0.29)

76.14% (

0.29)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73% (

-0.36)

22.26% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29% (

-0.55)

55.71% (

0.55)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.47% (

0.1)

37.53% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.69% (

0.1)

74.31% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 49.33%

Athletico Paranaense 24.67%

Draw 26%

Club Libertad	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.33%	1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.67%