Brasileiro Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 29' goal
  • Erick 80' goal
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 15'

Athletico Paranaense vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 1.00am
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Athletico PR
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vitor Roque

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 8.00pm
Flamengo 2 - 3 Botafogo
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 36.91% (+0.44)
Draw 26.34% (-0.11)
Flamengo 36.75% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.1% (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.38% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 51.61% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 26.6% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 73.4% (-0.39)
Over 4.5 12.38% (+0.26)
Under 4.5 87.61% (-0.26)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 72.91% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 27.08% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 37.54% (+0.61)
Under 1.5 62.46% (-0.61)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 72.82% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 27.17% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 37.42% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.58% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 36.91%
Draw 26.33%
Flamengo 36.75%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.18% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 6.28% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.56% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.73% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.16% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 5.33% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-97.40)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 8.16% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.32% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.75%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Oct 29, 2022 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
  • Gabriel Barbosa 45'+4' goal
Copa do Brasil
Aug 18, 2022 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • David Terans 23' yellowcard
  • Fernandinho 78' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 79' yellowcard
  • Pedro Henrique 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joao Gomes 29'
  • goal Pedro 57'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Aug 14, 2022 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pablo 43' yellowcard
  • Hugo Souza 44' yellowcard
  • Thiago Maia 49' yellowcard
  • Fabricio Bruno 56' goal
  • Fabricio Bruno 59' goal
  • Ayrton Lucas 63' goal
  • Lazaro 72' goal
  • Pedro 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Vitor Bueno 54'
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 66'
Copa do Brasil
Jul 28, 2022 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Gabriel Barbosa 41' yellowcard
  • Thiago Maia 87' yellowcard
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Pereira 90'+6' yellowcard
  • David Luiz 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Bento 23'
  • yellowcard Erick 38'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 41'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Cittadini 86'
  • yellowcard Matheus Felipe 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • David Terans 32' goal
  • Matheus Felipe 41' yellowcard
  • Luis Manuel Orejuela 49' yellowcard
  • Christian 85' yellowcard
  • Lucas Halter 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo 55'
  • yellowcard Marinho 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Nov 2, 2021 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • David Terans 5' yellowcard
  • Thiago Heleno 21' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 35' yellowcard
  • Renato Kayzer 63' goal
  • Nicolas Hernandez 70' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Bissoli 90'+5' goal
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 17'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 27'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 29'
  • yellowcard Andreas Pereira 76'