Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Coritiba

Flamengo
3 - 0
Coritiba

Lucas (12'), Barbosa (56' pen.), Pedro (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Aucas 2-1 Flamengo
Wednesday, April 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Coritiba

All competitions
Last Game: Cuiaba 2-1 Coritiba
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 13.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawCoritiba
67.07% (0.049999999999997 0.05)19.38% (-0.026 -0.03)13.55% (-0.022 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.69% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (0.072999999999993 0.07)43.4% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (0.071000000000005 0.07)65.79% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88% (0.034000000000006 0.03)12% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.56% (0.075000000000003 0.08)37.43% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.47% (0.010000000000005 0.01)43.53% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)79.74% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 67.06%
    Coritiba 13.55%
    Draw 19.38%
FlamengoDrawCoritiba
2-0 @ 11.74%
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.9% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.4% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.66% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.87% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 67.06%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.38%
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 13.55%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 7pm
Coritiba
1-0
Flamengo
Manga (58' pen.)
Galarza (8')
Jul 16, 2022 11pm
Flamengo
2-0
Coritiba
Henrique (13'), Diego (22')
Nov 21, 2020 10pm
Flamengo
3-1
Coritiba
Henrique (3'), De Arrascaeta (27'), Rene (76')
Arao (37')
Oliveira (90+3')
Sabino (34'), Filemon (68'), Sales (89')
Aug 15, 2020 11.30pm
Coritiba
0-1
Flamengo

Junior (34'), Jonathan (45'), Silva (73'), Ruy (90+1')
Junior (58')
De Arrascaeta (28')
Gerson (55'), Henrique (69'), Diego (87')