Copa Libertadores
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Erick Castillo 58' goal
  • Roberto Ordonez 85' goal
  • goal Matheus Franca 39'

Aucas vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aucas

All competitions

Flamengo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Aucas had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.15%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Aucas win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result

Aucas 21% (-0.18)
Draw 23.9% (+0.12)
Flamengo 55.1% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.45% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.82% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 50.17% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 27.86% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 72.13% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 13.22% (-0.41)
Under 4.5 86.78% (+0.41)

Aucas Goals

Over 0.5 61.58% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 38.41% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 24.83% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 75.16% (+0.54)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 81.92% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 18.08% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 50.99% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 49% (+0.40)

Score analysis

Aucas 21%
Draw 23.89%
Flamengo 55.08%
Aucas
1-0 @ 6.65% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 5.44% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.18% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.73% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.95% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.89%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 11.87% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 10.15% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.79% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 5.54% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 2.48% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.37% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 55.08%