Copa Sudamericana
May 28, 2021 1.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Christian 26' goal
  • Abner Vinicius 36' goal
  • Richard 49' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 67' goal
  • Christian 76' yellowcard
  • Nikao 78' yellowcard
  • Fernando Canesin 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Eduardo 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Edison Vega 58'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Denilson Batioja Quinonez 69'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Batioja 69'
  • yellowcard Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo 85'
  • yellowcard Richard Mina 85'
  • yellowcard Ronald Briones 90'+2'

Athletico Paranaense vs Aucas - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 20, 2021 1.30am
Athletico PR 1 - 0 Melgar

Aucas

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
May 20, 2021 1.30am
Aucas 3 - 0 Metropolitanos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Aucas had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Aucas win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 51.4%
Draw 23.27%
Aucas 25.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.77%

Goals

Over 2.5 56.98%
Under 2.5 43.02%
Over 3.5 34.58%
Under 3.5 65.42%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 83.2%
Under 0.5 16.8%
Over 1.5 53.23%
Under 1.5 46.77%

Aucas Goals

Over 0.5 69.43%
Under 0.5 30.57%
Over 1.5 33.2%
Under 1.5 66.79%

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 51.4%
Draw 23.27%
Aucas 25.33%
Athletico Paranaense
2-1 @ 9.68%
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 8.17%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-0 @ 4.86%
3-2 @ 3.41%
4-1 @ 2.57%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 51.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85%
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.27%
Aucas
1-2 @ 6.44%
0-1 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 25.33%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 21, 2021 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda
  • Jhonny Quinonez 59' yellowcard
  • Carlos Cuero 77' redcard
  • goal Erick 38'
  • yellowcard Nikao 47'
  • yellowcard Fernando Canesin 52'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 55'