Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 11, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio OlĂmpico de la UCV
Metropolitanos0 - 1Athletico PR
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Metropolitanos and Athletico Paranaense.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metropolitanos | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 44.37% | 23.14% | 32.48% |
| Both teams to score 63.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.27% | 37.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.02% | 59.98% |
| Metropolitanos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% | 17.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.09% | 47.91% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% | 23.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% | 56.92% |
| Score Analysis |
Metropolitanos 44.37%
Athletico Paranaense 32.48%
Draw 23.14%
| Metropolitanos | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 2-1 @ 9% 1-0 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.29% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 4.04% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 4.03% 3-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-1 @ 5.9% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.12% Total : 32.48% |


