Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Flamengo2 - 0Nublense
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Flamengo and Nublense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Coritiba
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Nublense 0-2 Racing
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 3-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
Result | ||
Flamengo | Draw | Nublense |
74.47% ( 1.06) | 16.44% ( -0.47) | 9.08% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 44.33% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.73% ( 0.27) | 42.26% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.33% ( 0.27) | 64.67% ( -0.27) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.23% ( 0.33) | 9.76% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.52% ( 0.77) | 32.47% ( -0.77) |
Nublense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.12% ( -1.08) | 50.87% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.74% ( -0.74) | 85.25% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Flamengo 74.46%
Nublense 9.08%
Draw 16.44%
Flamengo | Draw | Nublense |
2-0 @ 13.44% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.17% Total : 74.46% | 1-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.59% Total : 16.44% | 0-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.96% Total : 9.08% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 11:03:54
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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