Copa Libertadores
Apr 20, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Pedro 15' goal
  • Pedro 38' goal

Flamengo vs Nublense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 5, 2023 11.00pm
Aucas 2 - 1 Flamengo

Nublense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 6, 2023 1.00am
Nublense 0 - 2 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 3-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result

Flamengo 74.47% (+1.07)
Draw 16.44% (-0.48)
Nublense 9.08% (-0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.33% (-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.73% (+0.27)
Under 2.5 42.26% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 35.33% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 64.67% (-0.27)
Over 4.5 18.51% (+0.20)
Under 4.5 81.48% (-0.21)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 90.23% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 9.76% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 67.52% (+0.77)
Under 1.5 32.47% (-0.77)

Nublense Goals

Over 0.5 49.12% (-1.09)
Under 0.5 50.87% (+1.08)
Over 1.5 14.74% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 85.25% (+0.74)

Score analysis

Flamengo 74.46%
Draw 16.44%
Nublense 9.08%
Flamengo
2-0 @ 13.44% (+0.23)
1-0 @ 11.55% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 10.42% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 7.05% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.06% (+0.28)
4-1 @ 4.1% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 2.82% (+0.17)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.91% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.09% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 74.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.81% (-0.23)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 16.44%
Nublense
0-1 @ 3.36% (-0.15)
1-2 @ 2.64% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 9.08%