Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 3-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.