Flamengo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 20, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Nublense

Flamengo
2 - 0
Nublense

Pedro (15', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Flamengo and Nublense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Coritiba
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Nublense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nublense 0-2 Racing
Thursday, April 6 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 74.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nublense had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 3-0 (10.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Nublense win it was 0-1 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawNublense
74.47% (1.061 1.06)16.44% (-0.471 -0.47)9.08% (-0.592 -0.59)
Both teams to score 44.33% (-0.808 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.73% (0.269 0.27)42.26% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (0.266 0.27)64.67% (-0.268 -0.27)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.23% (0.331 0.33)9.76% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.52% (0.76599999999999 0.77)32.47% (-0.76900000000001 -0.77)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.12% (-1.081 -1.08)50.87% (1.08 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.74% (-0.742 -0.74)85.25% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 74.46%
    Nublense 9.08%
    Draw 16.44%
FlamengoDrawNublense
2-0 @ 13.44% (0.23 0.23)
1-0 @ 11.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 10.42% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.06% (0.272 0.27)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.059 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.82% (0.166 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.91% (0.055 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.09% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 74.46%
1-1 @ 7.81% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.07% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 16.44%
0-1 @ 3.36% (-0.149 -0.15)
1-2 @ 2.64% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 9.08%