Nublense
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 1am UK
 

Nublense
0 - 2
Racing

FT(HT: 0-1)
Rojas (16'), Guerrero (54')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nublense and Racing Club.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nublense

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Union La Calera 2-1 Nublense
Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Racing Club

All competitions
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Huracan
Saturday, April 1 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Nublense win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
NublenseDrawRacing Club
25.66% (0.045999999999999 0.05)25.12% (0.018000000000001 0.02)49.22% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.34% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)50.65% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44% (-0.038 -0.04)72.56% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.61% (0.012999999999991 0.01)34.38% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.91% (0.013999999999999 0.01)71.09% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)20.6% (0.043000000000003 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.85% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)53.14% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Nublense 25.66%
    Racing Club 49.21%
    Draw 25.11%
NublenseDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.66%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 11.18%
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.66% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 49.21%