MX23RW : Friday, March 29 15:27:42| >> :60:157:157:
Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2022 at 12.30am UK
 
Nublense

Union La Calera
2 - 1
Nublense

Saez (44'), Ramirez (64')
Garrido (50'), Castellani (66'), Oyanedel (75'), Cavalleri (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vargas (90+4' pen.)
Campusano (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Union La Calera and Nublense.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Union La Calera 3-2 U. Catolica
Tuesday, May 24 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Last Game: Union La Calera 2-1 Nublense
Wednesday, March 16 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union La Calera win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Nublense had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union La Calera win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Nublense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union La Calera would win this match.

Result
Union La CaleraDrawNublense
45.48%26.89%27.64%
Both teams to score 48.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.75%56.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71%77.29%
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81%59.19%
Nublense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.23%35.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.46%72.55%
Score Analysis
    Union La Calera 45.47%
    Nublense 27.64%
    Draw 26.88%
Union La CaleraDrawNublense
1-0 @ 12.35%
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 8.64%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 45.47%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.07%
1-2 @ 6.53%
0-2 @ 4.66%
1-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.6%
2-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 27.64%

Head to Head
Mar 9, 2022 12.30am
Nublense
0-0
Union La Calera

Wiemberg (41'), Oyanedel (65'), Saez (78')
rhs 2.0
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