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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán Nazar
Flamengo

Union La Calera
2 - 2
Flamengo

Martinez (8'), Arao (27' og.)
Martinez (30'), Orellana (37'), Wiemberg (84'), Iturra (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Barbosa (31' pen.), Arao (77')
Gomes (52'), De Arrascaeta (80'), Luis (89'), Henrique (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Union La Calera and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 23.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 1-0 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Union La CaleraDrawFlamengo
23.39%24.96%51.65%
Both teams to score 50.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08%51.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33%73.67%
Union La Calera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.92%37.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.14%73.86%
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91%20.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66%52.34%
Score Analysis
    Union La Calera 23.39%
    Flamengo 51.65%
    Draw 24.96%
Union La CaleraDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-1 @ 5.89%
2-0 @ 3.67%
3-1 @ 1.95%
3-2 @ 1.56%
3-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 23.39%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 7.45%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 11.95%
0-2 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-3 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-4 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 2.04%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 51.65%

How you voted: Union La Calera vs Flamengo

Union La Calera
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Flamengo
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 27, 2021 11.15pm
Group Stage
Flamengo
4-1
Union La Calera
Barbosa (31', 79'), De Arrascaeta (34'), Pedro (85')
Vitinho (83')
Saez (57')
Valencia (58')
rhs 2.0
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