Copa Libertadores
Apr 27, 2021 11.15pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Gabriel Barbosa 31' goal
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 34' goal
  • Gabriel Barbosa 79' goal
  • Vitinho 83' yellowcard
  • Pedro 85' goal
  • goal Sebastian Saez 57'
  • yellowcard Esteban Valencia 58'

Flamengo vs Union La Calera - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 21, 2021 1.30am
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 3 Flamengo

Union La Calera

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 22, 2021 3.00am
Union La Calera 2 - 2 LDU Quito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 11.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.07%) and 3-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.31%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result

Flamengo 65.4%
Draw 22.87%
Union La Calera 11.73%

Both Teams to Score: 

35.22%

Goals

Over 2.5 39.65%
Under 2.5 60.35%
Over 3.5 19.5%
Under 3.5 80.5%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 81.91%
Under 0.5 18.09%
Over 1.5 50.98%
Under 1.5 49.02%

Union La Calera Goals

Over 0.5 43%
Under 0.5 57%
Over 1.5 10.96%
Under 1.5 89.04%

Score analysis

Flamengo 65.4%
Draw 22.87%
Union La Calera 11.73%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 17.63%
2-0 @ 15.07%
3-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 8.47%
3-1 @ 4.83%
4-0 @ 3.67%
4-1 @ 2.06%
3-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 65.4%
Draw
0-0 @ 10.31%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.87%
Union La Calera
0-1 @ 5.8%
1-2 @ 2.79%
0-2 @ 1.63%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 11.73%