Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Cristal	Draw	River Plate
31.82% ( -0.86)	25.01% ( -0.13)	43.17% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 56.54% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.27% (

0.26)

46.73% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.01% (

0.25)

68.99% (

-0.24)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

-0.42)

27.83% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

-0.54)

63.43% (

0.54)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

0.57)

21.65% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

0.87)

54.78% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Sporting Cristal 31.82%

River Plate 43.17%

Draw 25.01%

Sporting Cristal	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 31.82%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01%	0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.17%