Copa Libertadores
Mar 1, 2023 12.00am
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Irven Avila 46' goal
  • Irven Avila 67' goal
  • Ignacio 74' goal
  • Jhilmar Lora 89' goal
  • Washington Corozo 90'+5' goal
  • goal Gustavo Caballero 47'

Sporting Cristal vs Club Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Cristal

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 21, 2023 10.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Cristal

Club Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Feb 21, 2023 10.00pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Cristal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 55.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Cristal would win this match.

Result

Sporting Cristal 55.56% (+0.20)
Draw 25.17% (-0.03)
Club Nacional 19.27% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.36% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.05% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 56.95% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 22.15% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 77.85% (+0.08)

Sporting Cristal Goals

Over 0.5 79.5% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.5% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 47.01% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 52.99% (-0.07)

Club Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 55.8% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 44.2% (+0.25)
Over 1.5 19.71% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 80.29% (+0.20)

Score analysis

Sporting Cristal 55.55%
Draw 25.17%
Club Nacional 19.27%
Sporting Cristal
1-0 @ 14.36% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 11.37% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.01% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.91% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.06% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.79% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 25.17%
Club Nacional
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 19.27%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Feb 21, 2023 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mathias Martinez 46' goal
  • Gustavo Aguilar 90'+7' goal