Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 15, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico

Nacional
3 - 1
Huancayo

Ocampos (62'), Martinez (69'), Fleitas (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Millan (39')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Club Nacional and Sport Huancayo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Nacional

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Last Game: Huancayo 2-1 Nacional
Wednesday, February 8 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
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Sport Huancayo

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Last Game: Huancayo 2-1 Nacional
Wednesday, February 8 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 45.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sport Huancayo had a probability of 26.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Sport Huancayo win it was 0-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Nacional would win this match.

Result
Club NacionalDrawSport Huancayo
45.98% (-0.418 -0.42)27.74% (-0.156 -0.16)26.27% (0.575 0.57)
Both teams to score 45.09% (0.829 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40% (0.837 0.84)60% (-0.835 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.76% (0.632 0.63)80.24% (-0.631 -0.63)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (0.17700000000001 0.18)26.11% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (0.236 0.24)61.17% (-0.23500000000001 -0.24)
Sport Huancayo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.02% (0.979 0.98)38.98% (-0.977 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (0.909 0.91)75.7% (-0.90700000000001 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Club Nacional 45.98%
    Sport Huancayo 26.27%
    Draw 27.73%
Club NacionalDrawSport Huancayo
1-0 @ 13.66% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 10.17% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.73%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.07% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 26.27%

Head to Head
Feb 8, 2023 12am
First Round
Huancayo
2-1
Nacional
Escobar (52'), Huaccha (90+6')
Brizuela (69')
Espinola (81')
rhs 2.0


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