Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Huancayo win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Huancayo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
