Penarol vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.