Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol5 - 1Huancayo
FT(HT: 3-1)
Liliu (17')
Rojas (36'), Valoyes (43'), Barreto (53')
Rojas (36'), Valoyes (43'), Barreto (53')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Penarol and Sport Huancayo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Sport Huancayo had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sport Huancayo win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Sport Huancayo |
| 48.43% | 24.54% | 27.02% |
| Both teams to score 55.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
