Cerro Largo
2 - 2
Penarol

Estol (72' pen.), Borges (90+5')
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Formiliano (21'), Terans (50')
Pereira (51'), Abascal (56'), Gargano (60'), Freitas (90+2')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Penarol
45.7%	25.24%	29.07%

Both teams to score 54.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.04%

48.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.95%

71.05%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56%

21.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55%

54.45%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16%

30.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88%

67.12%

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 45.69%

Penarol 29.07%

Draw 25.23%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 4.74% 3-0 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.46% Total : 45.69%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.23%	0-1 @ 7.78% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.57% 1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.99% Total : 29.07%

Cerro Largo2 - 2Penarol

Data Analysis

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Cerro Largo
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Penarol