MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 12:42:33| >> :60:102:102:
Cerro Largo logo
Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Apr 7, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera
Penarol

Cerro Largo
2 - 2
Penarol

Estol (72' pen.), Borges (90+5')
Baez (38'), Nunez (45+4'), Brasil (59'), Ezequiel Machado Ferrando (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Formiliano (21'), Terans (50')
Pereira (51'), Abascal (56'), Gargano (60'), Freitas (90+2')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Penarol win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
45.7%25.24%29.07%
Both teams to score 54.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04%48.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95%71.05%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56%21.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55%54.45%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16%30.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88%67.12%
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 45.69%
    Penarol 29.07%
    Draw 25.23%
Cerro LargoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 4.74%
3-0 @ 4.03%
3-2 @ 2.79%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 45.69%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 6.61%
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.78%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.07%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 8
Penarol
1-1
Cerro Largo
Borges (90+5')
Beltran (54'), Baez (72'), Cayetano (82')
A (16')
Alvarez (5'), Britos (70')
Aug 28, 2020 12.15am
Gameweek 8
Penarol
2-0
Cerro Largo
Terans (42' pen.), Britos (84')
Dec 5, 2019 11.30pm
Penarol
2-1
Cerro Largo
Acevedo (7'), Lores (96')
Acevedo (41'), Pereira (83'), Abascal (87')
Dorrego (53')
Acosta (30'), Heredia (60'), Assis (78')
Jun 2, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 15
Cerro Largo
1-0
Penarol
Sosa (8')
Gravi (74'), Aguerre (76'), Quintana (80')

Viatri (46'), Pereira (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal28204470244664
2Liverpool28197265263964
3Manchester CityMan City28196363283563
4Aston Villa29175760421856
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs28165759421753
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd28152113939047
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2912894650-444
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle281241259481140
11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
13Bournemouth2898114152-1135
14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!