MX23RW : Tuesday, March 19 11:08:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 15, 2021 at 12.45am UK
Estadio Casto Martínez Laguarda
Penarol
Torque
1 - 2
Penarol
Pereira (18')
Rak (49'), Allende (52'), Coccaro (68'), Del Prete (71'), Arismendi (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Terans (56'), A (65')
Alvarez (36'), Torres (45'), Gargano (48'), Terans (86'), Kagelmacher (90+2')
Cardozo (45')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Montevideo City TorqueDrawPenarol
28.95%28.58%42.47%
Both teams to score 44.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.43%61.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.58%81.42%
Montevideo City Torque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.38%37.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6%74.4%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3%28.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48%64.52%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo City Torque 28.95%
    Penarol 42.46%
    Draw 28.57%
Montevideo City TorqueDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 10.55%
2-1 @ 6.44%
2-0 @ 5.16%
3-1 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 28.95%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 4.02%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 13.47%
0-2 @ 8.41%
1-2 @ 8.23%
0-3 @ 3.5%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-4 @ 1.09%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.46%

Head to Head
Sep 13, 2020 12.15am
Gameweek 12
Penarol
0-0
Torque
Martinez (36'), Dawson (37'), Vadocz (69'), Acosta (82')
Brun (37'), Pizzichillo (42'), Allende (45'), Ezquerra (45+3')
Sep 23, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 10
Penarol
1-1
Torque
Fernandez (39')
Ezequiel Viatri (45'), Pereira (48'), Rodriguez (76')
Rodriguez (86')
Sena (83')
Brun (19'), Gomez (26'), Pereira (38'), Gomez (52')
Jun 1, 2018 12am
Penarol
3-4
Torque
Palacios (20', 58'), Hernandez (38')
Maldonado (10'), Formiliano (66'), Lewis (81')
Martinez (81'), Formiliano (88')
Brun (11' pen., 90'), Castellanos (36'), Gonzalez (94')
Bonjour (37'), Brun (43'), Neira (91')
Gonzalez (95')
Apr 1, 2018 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Torque
2-0
Penarol
Roskopf (33', 52')
Brun (79'), Castellanos (89')

Formiliano (61')
rhs 2.0
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